IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Chicago St.
Western Athletic
2018-19

Overall
Predictive Rating	-16.4	#350
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	77.4	#25
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-9.0	#347

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-7.5	#347

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	n/a	16.0

.500 or above	0.0%	0.5%	0.0%
.500 or above in Conference	1.4%	2.6%	1.4%
Conference Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	73.3%	64.9%	73.3%

First Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
First Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Indiana (Away) - 0.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0.0 - 1.2	0.0 - 1.2
Quad 1b	0.0 - 2.4	0.0 - 3.6
Quad 2	0.1 - 5.6	0.1 - 9.2
Quad 3	0.6 - 9.0	0.7 - 18.2
Quad 4	2.7 - 7.3	3.4 - 25.6

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2018	25	@ Indiana	L	60-89	0.1%
Nov 08, 2018	49	@ Notre Dame	L	60-86	1%
Nov 09, 2018	219	@ Central Michigan	L	70-83	7%
Nov 13, 2018	75	@ Illinois St.	L	66-89	1%
Nov 16, 2018	184	@ Akron	L	67-82	5%
Nov 19, 2018	153	@ East Tennessee St.	L	63-80	4%
Nov 20, 2018	335	Jackson St.	L	65-70	34%
Nov 24, 2018	117	@ Bradley	L	61-81	2%
Dec 01, 2018	298	Eastern Illinois	L	66-75	31%
Dec 12, 2018	89	@ DePaul	L	65-87	2%
Dec 17, 2018	62	@ Northwestern	L	59-84	1%
Dec 20, 2018	270	@ Western Illinois	L	69-79	12%
Dec 22, 2018	186	@ Northern Illinois	L	67-82	6%
Jan 05, 2019	279	@ UMKC	L	71-81	13%
Jan 12, 2019	288	California Baptist	L	70-80	29%
Jan 17, 2019	114	@ Grand Canyon	L	64-84	3%
Jan 19, 2019	204	@ Cal St. Bakersfield	L	63-77	8%
Jan 24, 2019	244	Seattle	L	68-80	24%
Jan 26, 2019	152	Utah Valley	L	66-83	12%
Jan 31, 2019	311	@ UT Rio Grande Valley	L	77-85	19%
Feb 02, 2019	93	@ New Mexico St.	L	63-85	2%
Feb 07, 2019	288	@ California Baptist	L	70-80	15%
Feb 14, 2019	204	Cal St. Bakersfield	L	63-77	18%
Feb 16, 2019	114	Grand Canyon	L	64-84	8%
Feb 21, 2019	152	@ Utah Valley	L	66-83	5%
Feb 23, 2019	244	@ Seattle	L	68-80	11%
Feb 28, 2019	311	UT Rio Grande Valley	L	77-85	35%
Mar 02, 2019	93	New Mexico St.	L	63-85	7%
Mar 09, 2019	279	UMKC	L	71-81	28%
Projected Record						3.4 - 25.6	2.4 - 13.6

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Western Athletic Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st													0.0						0.0	1st
2nd										0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.1	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0							0.2	3rd
4th							0.0	0.2	0.4	0.2	0.1								0.8	4th
5th					0.0	0.1	0.5	0.9	0.4	0.1	0.0								2.0	5th
6th				0.0	0.3	1.5	1.8	0.6	0.0										4.2	6th
7th			0.0	1.3	3.7	3.4	1.0	0.1											9.6	7th
8th		0.8	5.5	8.8	5.7	1.5	0.2	0.0											22.5	8th
9th	15.8	21.2	15.6	6.7	1.0	0.1													60.6	9th

Total	15.8	22.1	21.2	16.9	10.8	6.5	3.6	1.8	0.9	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0						Total

Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3	0.0%
12-4	66.7%	0.0		0.0	0.0
11-5	0.0%
10-6	0.0%
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	0.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3	0.0%																							0.0
12-4	0.0%																							0.0
11-5	0.1%																							0.1
10-6	0.1%																							0.1
9-7	0.3%																							0.3
8-8	0.9%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	0.9
7-9	1.8%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	1.8
6-10	3.6%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	3.6
5-11	6.5%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	6.5
4-12	10.8%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	10.8
3-13	16.9%																							16.9
2-14	21.2%																							21.2
1-15	22.1%																							22.1
0-16	15.8%																							15.8

Total	100%		0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	16.0																	0.0	100.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	8.3%